Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Soberingest Graph du Jour CXXVI

Incumbant Presidents seeking re-election tend not to win if economic growth figures are weak.


(Click graph to enlarge.)

Designed by political scientist Seth Masket on his blog, you'll notice that only two out of six post-war incumbants have won re-election when Real Disposable Income growth was below two percent -- Bush II (just barely) in 2004 and a very popular Eisenhower in 1956.

President Obama will be judged by the economic numbers that come out between now and next fall, not by today's numbers.  Considering the current economic outlook, however, he has a tough row to hoe.

Add to that one very disappointed base and....

[Source:  Enik Rising via The Dish.]